Italy go into the World Cup not only as one of the most fancied teams in the world cup odds but also as the holders.
Italy have a great World Cup pedigree, having won the tournament three times, but some fear that the 2010 squad is not good enough.
Italy are not the side they have been in recent World Cups and age has not been kind to them. They have been drawn alongside Paraguay who are a very good team and well capable of taking the group from Italy, but Italy should finish above Slovakia and certainly New Zealand.
If Italy finish as runners up in Group F they will most likely play Holland who just look to have too much skill and flair for the aging Italians, even if Italy won their group they would still struggle against Denmark or Cameroon.
Italy have always been a team who doesn't concede or score many goals so if you are backing Italy to win a game it always seems best to back them to win 'to nil'. They should achieve this result against New Zealand but the odds will be much better agaisnt Slovakia who don't have many goals in them.
Italy should keep a clean sheet against Slovakia and are extremely unlikely to score three goals, in all probability they will only score one, so under 2.5 goals is very likely. They had six under 2.5 goals games in qualifying and that ratio should increase against better opposition.
Italy love to defend in all their matches and knockout football often sees them become more defensive. In the past five World Cups they have always gone out in extra time or penalties so expect their knockout game to go into extra time.
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Italy have not exactly set the world alight with their qualifying campaign but Italy are the sort of side who only ever seems to do enough to get by so don't rule out futher improvement at the World Cup. They will need that improvement if they are to live up to the World Cup odds on Italy.
| Date | Team | Scores | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/08 | Cyprus | 1 - 2 | Italy |
| 10/09/08 | Italy | 2 - 0 | Georgia |
| 11/10/08 | Bulgaria | 0 - 0 | Italy |
| 15/10/08 | Italy | 2 - 1 | Montenegro |
| 28/03/09 | Montenegro | 0 - 2 | Italy |
| 01/04/09 | Italy | 1 - 1 | Rep.Ireland |
| 05/09/09 | Georgia | 0 - 2 | Italy |
| 09/09/09 | Italy | 2 - 0 | Bulgaria |
| 10/10/09 | Republic Of Ireland | 2 - 2 | Italy |
| 14/10/09 | Italy | 3 - 2 | Cyprus |
| Goalkeepers | Gianluigi Buffon (Juventus), Morgan De Sanctis (Napoli), Federico Marchetti (Cagliari) |
| Defenders | Salvatore Bocchetti (Genoa), Leonardo Bonucci (Bari), Fabio Cannavaro (Juventus), Giorgio Chiellini (Juventus), Domenico Criscito (Genoa), Christian Maggio (Napoli), Gianluca Zambrotta (AC Milan) |
| Midfielders | Mauro Camoranesi (Juventus), Daniele De Rossi (AS Roma), Gennaro Gattuso (AC Milan), Claudio Marchisio (Juventus), Riccardo Montolivo (Fiorentina), Angelo Palombo (Sampdoria), Simone Pepe (Udinese), Andrea Pirlo (AC Milan) |
| Forwards | Antonio Di Natale (Udinese), Alberto Gilardino (Fiorentina), Vincenzo Iaquinta (Juventus), Giampaolo Pazzini (Sampdoria), Fabio Quagliarella (Napoli) |
*All stats reflect bookies rules for own goals and 90 mins play in their respective markets.
| Player | Games (Sub) | Goals Scored | 1st Goals | Last Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Gilardino | 5 (1) | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Vincenzo Iaquinta | 4 (1) | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Alberto Aquilani | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Antonio Di Natale | 6 (1) | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Daniele De Rossi | 8 (1) | 2 | 1 | 1 |
4 Italy players scored a single goal during qualification.
| Italy Goal Stats | Italy Result Stats | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | No. Of Games |
10 |
| Goals | 18 | No. Of Games Won |
7 |
| Conceded | 7 | No. Of Games Drawn |
3 |
| First Goals | 6 | No. Of Games Lost |
0 |
| Last Goals | 7 | No. Of Games Winning At Half Time |
5 |
| Over 2.5 | 4 | No. Of Games Drawing At Half Time |
4 |
| Under 2.5 | 6 | No. Of Games Losing At Half Time |
1 |
| Clean Sheet | 5 | ||
| None Scored | 1 | ||
| Year | Stage of Exit |
|---|---|
| 2006 | Winners. Beat France on penalties after 1-1 draw |
| 2002 | Eliminated in extra time loss against South Korea in 2nd Round |
| 1998 | Eliminated on penalties against France in Quarter Final |
| 1994 | Runners Up. Beaten in final on penalties by Brazil |
| 1990 | Third place. Beaten by Argentina on penalties in the Semi Final |
Italy won't be a massive priced to reach the final and it seems very unlikely with their current squad so rather than laying them to win the tournament at bigger odds, the recommendation is to lay them to reach the final.
Winner: 100pts; Runner-up: 75pts; Lose Semi-Final: 50pts, Lose Quarter-Final: 25pts; Last 16: 10pts; Others: 0pts.
With Italy not as good as they used to be the best spread bet is likely to be to sell them in the outright tournament index. The worse they perform, the more you will make.